Apple Inc.
Designs and sells iPhone, Mac and wearable devices, with a subscription services arm layered on the installed base.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
71.4% correct-0.22% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 3/3 · SELL 2/4
| — |
| — |
| Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✓ | -1.62% | Maintain core AAPL long position at current levels without adding at $313; trim 20-25% on rallies to $320-325 if portfolio weight exceeds 8-10%. Stage buy-stop at $318 (>60M volume) and limit-buy at $298 (>50M volume) to capture both the breakout and flush paths of the CPI binary outcome, deploy a two-week time stop reducing weight by 10-15% if neither triggers fires, and overlay covered calls on the core position to monetize time premium while awaiting catalyst resolution. |
| 2026-08-06 | HOLD | ✓ | +0.29% | Analyst consensus converges on Hold for AAPL as the stock sits at a critical technical juncture between the 50 SMA pivot ($309.74) and major iPhone 17 catalyst in 4-6 weeks. Strong fundamental floor ($107.7B FCF, 50.05% gross margin, 148.75% ROE) supports preserving core exposure, but MACD histogram still widening at -3.48 and elevated valuation (PEG 2.46, forward P/E 32.8x) warrant disciplined tiered scale-in only above confirmed resistance levels with volume ≥60M. |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | ✗ | +0.45% | Trim 25-30% of AAPL exposure into the $310-312 zone to move from overweight toward 70-80% of benchmark weight, while retaining a core position for the September iPhone 18 catalyst; stop loss at $325 closing basis (~1.5 ATR) with no puts as the trim itself serves as the hedge. Re-entry requires either a confirmed close above $323 on volume exceeding 90M shares, or a pullback to the $278-290 zone testing the 200 SMA. |
| 2026-08-04 | HOLD | ✓ | +0.52% | Maintain existing AAPL exposure at $309 given the structural floor (50.1% gross margin, $107B FCF, $98B capital return) and September iPhone 18 catalyst, while avoiding new purchases due to MACD expanding negative at -3.52, sub-Street Q4 GM guidance, and forward PEG ~3.6x. Re-enter on a pullback to $278-285 (200 SMA zone) or after a confirmed multi-day base above $320 with $333+ reclaim on volume, using November/December $320/$340 call spreads to participate in the launch window without adding equity at current levels. Weekly close below $278 on rising volume would trigger re-evaluation toward Underweight. |
| 2026-08-03 | SELL | ✗ | +1.96% | Underweight AAPL with 30-40% trim of existing exposure on strength toward $309.50 (50 SMA), while maintaining a 25-30% core position for the September iPhone 18 catalyst. Hedge the residual with defined-risk put spreads ($290/$270) or zero-cost collars rather than naked directional exposure, with hard stop at $272 close and invalidation levels at $309.50 (above) and $277.94 (below). |
| 2026-07-31 | SELL | ✓ | -1.78% | Trim AAPL 35-40% immediately to rotate toward AI beneficiaries (AMZN, NVDA, AVBV) while maintaining a residual core position, with a stop loss at $309.50 (50 SMA) and a hard close below $300 as a further reduction trigger; explicit re-entry criteria include a 10 EMA reclaim at $327 or successful retest of $300-304 with bullish reversal. The Underweight rating is preserved because the $107B FCF and 200 SMA structural support at $278 provide a franchise floor, though the combination of memory cost headwinds, breaking technicals (MACD at -1.37, RSI collapsed to 43), and hostile macro (88% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026) justify a larger trim than the prior under-calibrated 25% that produced -8.1% alpha. |
| 2026-07-30 | SELL | ✓ | -1.41% | Analysts trim AAPL to underweight ahead of tonight's binary earnings event, recommending a disciplined 15-20% reduction of overweight positions into strength at $344-346 rather than a full directional bet. The team rejects the aggressive $330.84 stop as noise bait, instead setting structural support at $322.40 (Bollinger midline), and advises skipping peak-IV protective puts and low-strike covered calls before reassessing post-print. |