Broadcom Inc.
Makes networking and wireless chips for hardware makers, and sells enterprise infrastructure software through VMware.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
83.3% correct+1.40% avg moveBUY 4/4 · HOLD 1/1 · SELL 0/1
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| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✓ | -1.25% | Maintain AVGO at $427 with a 25-30% trim into the $440-460 rally zone ahead of CPI and Q2 FY26 earnings, while setting a structurally valid hard stop below $380 (not at the $395 entry price) to properly account for downside risk given the 700bp sequential margin compression and 201% receivables growth against 48% revenue growth. |
| 2026-08-06 | BUY | ✓ | +1.71% | Initiate a phased build to 3-5% overweight with a 1-1.5% starter at $420 (not 50% of target), scaling to 2.5-3% on pullback to $400-405 and full 3-5% on flush to $385-395; trim 15% pre-earnings. The Overweight rating balances strong fundamentals (47.9% YoY revenue growth, 0.44 PEG, $27B+ FCF) against technical extension (7.4% above VWMA, non-confirmed breakout) and binary event risk, while avoiding the alpha-donor failure modes of prior pure Hold and aggressive full-position entries. |
| 2026-08-05 | BUY | ✓ | +0.55% | Upgrade to BUY on AVGO given confirmed Q2 FY26 results (47.9% YoY revenue growth, 49% operating margins, $10.26B quarterly FCF) and 0.44 PEG against 40%+ organic growth, paired with technical breakout on 1.5x volume. Phased entry at 3-4% equity target: 50% immediate at $418, second 50% on pullback to $410-415 or continuation above $420, with hard stop at $388 and put spread hedge into September 16 FOMC. |
| 2026-08-04 | SELL | ✗ | +0.03% | Trim 20-30% of AVGO exposure via closing-basis execution in the $415-425 zone to reduce risk at 85% of 52-week high with elevated beta (1.47) and ATR ($17.61), while preserving 70-80% of the position to maintain constructive structural exposure anchored in 49% operating margins, $27B FCF, and multi-year AI demand visibility. Set scaling-entry zone at $365-385 for deep pullback or $405-415 on confirmed cooling-off holding the 50 SMA, with stop at $388 closing-basis and 3-6 month $380-400 put spreads at 1-2% of position value as hedge. |
| 2026-08-03 | BUY | ✓ | +6.61% | The consensus is Overweight, with capital deployment staged in three tranches: 20% Tranche 1 initiates 8/5 (after AMD 8/4), 25% Tranche 2 triggers on confirmed close above $404, and 50% Tranche 3 on $420 retest or Q3 FY26 confirmation. The $372 stop was widened to $363 (below 200 SMA at $365) as the structurally valid invalidation point, and position size was reduced from 25% to 20% given elevated near-term catalysts including AMD, Goldman flow, EU, and Japan macro risks. |
| 2026-07-31 | BUY | ✓ | +0.76% | Build toward Overweight via a three-tranche staged entry, starting with a pre-committed 0.35x tranche at $378 (not contingent, per prior Hold-decision lesson), with a widened stop at $352 (~2 ATR given $16.56 ATR and beta 1.46), a second 0.5x tranche at $370 contingent on a bullish reversal candle at the 200 SMA with the Bollinger lower band holding, and a third 0.65x tranche at $362 only if the second tranche is green on a weekly basis; hedge with 5–8% OTM puts at 60% of intended position size, 60–90 DTE, with total risk capped at 0.75% of NAV and a 6-week time-stop to force action if neither breakout nor pullback materializes. |