Alphabet Inc.
Runs Google search and advertising alongside YouTube, Android and a growing cloud-computing business.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
71.4% correct+1.05% avg moveBUY 1/2 · HOLD 3/4 · SELL 1/1
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| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✓ | +0.91% | Maintain current GOOGL exposure with no incremental sizing today as the structural bull case (cash fortress, Cloud inflection, Berkshire conviction) is intact but entry at current levels offers poor risk/reward with $50 downside versus $24 upside to the upper Bollinger Band. The analyst adopts a three-tier add framework (Tier 1.5 at $348-$352 shallow pullback, Tier 1 breakout above $356.50 with volume confirmation, Tier 2 deep pullback to $320-$328 as bonus) with hard caps of 25% maximum new position increase and 25% per trigger, a hard stop at $310, and tightened 2-3 week reassessment window given hostile Fed regime punishing capex-heavy FCF-negative compounders. |
| 2026-08-06 | HOLD | ✓ | -0.96% | Maintain GOOGL exposure with a HOLD rating as the analyst debate is genuinely balanced with directional resolution not yet confirmed. Add 5-10% on pullback to the $349-$354 zone with a daily close, or 10-15% on confirmed breakout above $377.65 with volume exceeding 35M, capping total additions at 25% of current position regardless of trigger count. |
| 2026-08-05 | BUY | ✗ | -1.29% | GOOGL receives an Overweight rating with a 2-3% portfolio allocation recommended, deploying ~60% at current levels ($362) and the remaining 40% contingent on a daily close retest of the 50 SMA at $357.78 that holds. A stop is placed at $325 (just below the 200 SMA at $327.81), with the position held through the Aug 12 CPI event. The structural bull case remains intact (48.7% ROE, 34% operating margins, PEG 0.97, $242B cash) but tactical risks including the Aug-5 reversal candle, FCF compression, AI leadership vacuum, and CPI binary warrant calibrated positioning rather than maximum conviction. |
| 2026-08-04 | SELL | ✓ | -4.03% | Trim 25% of GOOGL exposure at $377.65 into the +18.85% nine-day rally, maintaining a residual long with a collar hedge; hard stop at $352 (10 EMA), with re-entry triggers at $355-358 (50 SMA) or above $382.85 on ≥50M volume. Underweight reflects negative expected value from Chrome regulatory asymmetry (15-25% downside vs 3-5% upside) combined with first-ever negative quarterly FCF, tripled debt, and paused buybacks at a technically overextended entry. |
| 2026-08-03 | HOLD | ✓ | +1.11% | Maintain GOOGL at $373 with no fresh adds or trimming, tightening the stop to $354 (1.5x ATR, just below the 50 SMA at $358) to avoid being stopped out by the 4-5% single-day moves that blow through 2x ATR stops before the thesis can play. Three pre-committed binary triggers govern mechanical execution: (1) confirmed close above $380.72 on volume ≥50M shares with MACD crossing zero → trail stop and add toward 1.25x; (2) pullback holding 50 SMA at $358 → reload at $358 with stop $348; (3) close below $358 on expanding volume → trim 25-50% of position. |
| 2026-07-31 | BUY | ✓ | +4.88% | Upgraded from Hold to Overweight, scaling to 1.25x benchmark weight over 3-5 sessions at $356, with a second tranche contingent on closing above $358.68 on volume ≥40M shares or a pullback to $348; hard stop set at $316, with target price of $408 over a 3-6 month horizon through Q2 2026 earnings. |
| 2026-07-30 | HOLD | ✗ | +6.73% | Maintain GOOGL exposure with no adds or trims as neither the bullish case (200 SMA holding at $325.41, 24% revenue growth, $242.5B cash, 34% operating margin) nor the bearish case (declining 50 SMA at $359, MACD at -8.15, $98.8B securities-gain distortion in Q2 net income, CapEx doubled to $44.9B, negative FCF of -$5.9B) has produced a confirmation trigger; reassess on decisive close above $359 for Buy or below $315 for Sell. |