TRADERPUNKAI-generated research. Not investment advice.TraderPunk is operated by Clickable Company Limited.
PerformanceTermsPrivacyDisclaimerSupport© 2026
Skip to content
TRADERPUNK
StocksPerformancePricingSample report
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Explores for and refines oil and gas, with a chemicals arm that cushions swings in the crude price.

$160.10+0.94%
Close · 2026-08-14
Current callSubscribers2026-08-14
$120$140$160
NovFebMayAug
Market context
$103.15
$175.2252-week range, last close at 79% of the range
1W
+4.61%
1M
+10.79%
3M
+1.38%
6M
+8.58%
YTD
+34.84%
1Y
+53.85%
Avg vol 20d
14M
RVOL
0.73
HOLD band
Fundamentalsas of 2026-08-14
Mkt cap
$658.32B
P/E
20.6
Fwd P/E
14.9
EPS
$7.77
Div yield
2.57%
Beta
0.17
Employees
57.9K
Next earnings
2026-10-30
Rating & verdict historyoldest → newest
  1. ✓
  2. ✗
  3. ✓
  4. ✓
  5. ✗
  6. ✓
  7. ✗
DateCallOutcomeReturnTakeaway
2026-08-14Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-13Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-12Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-11Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-10Subscribers
±1.58%

    • 57.1% correct+0.27% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 3/4 · SELL 1/3

    —
    —
    Subscribe to read
    2026-08-07partialHOLD✗+4.41%Maintain XOM at current position size with all three analysts converging on Hold, as the structural floor thesis (1.37x FCF coverage, 0.17 beta, 12+ years of dividend increases) remains intact while short-term momentum has cooled. The Neutral Analyst's defined decision tree provides execution triggers: 2% scale-in on pullback to $150-152 holding 10 EMA, full 4% add on breakout above $157 with volume >12M, and review-and-reduce if close below 50 SMA ($146.48) on rising volume.
    2026-08-06HOLD✓-1.16%XOM is maintained at Hold with current position size as the structural floor thesis (1.37x FCF coverage, 0.17 beta, 12+ years of dividend increases, investment-grade rating) remains intact while the Q2 best-profit-in-four-years inflection and 5.5-6% total shareholder yield prevent underweight, though the 25.5% YTD run and RSI cooling from 72 to 59 limit upside asymmetry. Key monitoring levels are the 10 EMA at $153.75 (near-term warning/25-30% trim signal on close below with rising volume), the 50 SMA at $146.38 (hard invalidation stop), and $156.94 with positive MACD histogram (add trigger); reassess at Q3 earnings in October.
    2026-08-05SELL✗+2.12%Trim 10-15% of XOM at $153-156 to capture technical deterioration (MACD histogram collapsed from +2.10 to +0.02, 50 SMA rolling over from $154.73), while maintaining 80-85% of neutral weight given the dividend floor (1.37x FCF coverage, 2.66% yield), 0.17 beta defensive characteristics, and structural floor at the 200 SMA. Eliminate the $137 stop (too close to structural support) and reload in tranches at $144-148 (50 SMA with MACD confirmation) and $138-140 (200 SMA only on operating margin stabilization); re-evaluate at Q3 earnings in October.
    2026-08-04SELL✓-1.51%Trim XOM by 10-15% given a binary setup at tested resistance ($158.71) that has produced -2.5% alpha versus SPY on prior Hold calls, with Q2 miss, forward-EPS cuts, and political overhang weighing on near-term odds. Maintain 85-90% exposure as the structural floor (book value $63, 200 SMA $138, 2.65% yield, 0.17 beta) prevents a full Sell, but the asymmetric risk/reward and negative forward-EPS convexity warrant capital-neutral Underweight positioning.
    2026-08-03HOLD✓-0.71%Maintain XOM at current portfolio size within the 146.37-162.55 no-action zone; add up to 25% toward Overweight on a confirmed daily close above 162.55 with above-average volume, targeting 170 then 180; trim 30-50% toward Underweight on a daily close below 146.37 (50-SMA), with 200-SMA at 138.26 as the sole re-entry candidate. The Hold rating balances intact earnings power ($14.5B Q2 profit, 5.7% dividend yield) against FCF concerns and geopolitical risk, with Q3 October earnings as the next decision point.
    2026-07-31SELL✗-0.24%Trim XOM to ~75% of benchmark weight by selling into the $158-$162 seller zone with a hard stop at $163, driven by structurally halved operating margins (12.15% → 6.43%), ~46% net income decline from peak, and a 14.7x forward PE anchored on $10.59 EPS that contradicts trend-implied ~$7.50 EPS. Re-entry requires operating margin stabilization above 8% for two consecutive quarters combined with net debt plateau and either breakout above $162.54 on >15M volume or 200 SMA basing—no pre-committed reload price.
    2026-07-30HOLD✓-0.97%Maintain XOM (Hold) into Friday's Q2 earnings as the confirmed medium-term uptrend and beat-and-raise setup argue against trimming, while stretched technicals (RSI 67, price at upper Bollinger Band $162) argue against adding. Scale the tail hedge to 4% of position using Aug $155 puts (deeper than the $150 strike) and execute a pre-defined post-earnings decision tree rather than discretionary sizing in the print volatility.