The Home Depot, Inc.
Supplies building materials, tools and equipment to professional contractors and do-it-yourself homeowners, through big-box stores.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
42.9% correct+0.74% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 1/3 · SELL 2/4
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| 2026-08-07 | SELL | ✓ | -1.36% | Trim HD from 3-4% benchmark to 2.0% (50% reduction) as Q1 FY26 confirmed structural margin compression with operating margin down 100bps YoY to 11.9% despite 4.8% revenue growth, breaking the operating leverage narrative; the 2.0% sizing preserves upside optionality if HD breaks above $360 while providing meaningful protection on confirmed deterioration, with $334 stop and $355-365 execution zone capturing resistance rather than chasing spot price. |
| 2026-08-06 | HOLD | ✗ | +1.75% | Maintain HD at neutral weight with position bracketed between $333.54 support and $360 resistance; do not add into the $353.50 distribution-day rejection or trim into the constructive higher-low base. Hedge structural housing-turnover exposure via covered calls at $360 or XHB puts rather than reducing the underlying position. |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | ✓ | -1.03% | Maintain an Underweight rating on HD with a $300 price target over a 1-2 quarter horizon. Trim 35-45% of exposure as price approaches the $350-355 resistance zone (upper Bollinger band tested three times since July), while capping residual at 0.75-1.0% of portfolio NAV. The $332 close (rising 50 SMA) serves as the structural stop-loss, not the internally inconsistent $358/$362 levels proposed by other analysts. |
| 2026-08-04 | HOLD | ✓ | +1.41% | Maintain HD at neutral weight (~3-4% of portfolio) rather than upgrading to BUY or downgrading to Underweight. Existing holders should hold the position and collect the 2.81% dividend yield while defending the $325 hard stop; new entrants should wait for defined triggers rather than initiating at $348. The structured add-on plan (25% on pullback to $338-340, 25% on confirmed close above $360 with volume, 50% reserved for retest of $345 or post-Q2 positioning) preserves prior lesson discipline while defining the path to upgrade conviction. |
| 2026-08-03 | HOLD | ✗ | +2.42% | A unanimous bearish consensus on HD's structural issues (anemic volume, margin compression, zero buybacks) is overridden by prior lessons showing support floors hold — maintain neutral weight, let the $326 stop do the work, and re-evaluate on a confirmed close above $348.50 with volume confirmation or at Q2 FY26 earnings. |
| 2026-07-31 | SELL | ✗ | +2.43% | Preserve the Underweight directional view on HD but reduce the initial trim to 15-20% at $332 (vs the proposed 25-40%) to avoid repeating the alpha drag from the July 2026 setup where a 30% pre-emptive trim at $333 produced -1.1% alpha when support held; tiered triggers will add to the trim if price confirms below $325 (15% more) or $315 (20% more) with volume. Stop-loss set at $345.37 above the 200 SMA; re-entry at 50% on close above $344 with positive MACD and remaining 50% above $350 with RSI >55. |
| 2026-07-30 | SELL | ✗ | -0.42% | Trim Home Depot 30% from current levels near $333, prioritizing highest-cost lots, with a tiered exit framework: Tier 1 trim additional 15% on close below $325, Tier 2 trim another 20% on close below $315, and full exit on close below $289. Redeploy proceeds into cash or short-duration Treasuries rather than chasing momentum. Re-entry requires close above $344.47 with MACD histogram crossing positive, then close above $350 with RSI above 55. |