JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Universal bank spanning consumer deposits and cards, commercial lending, investment banking and asset management.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
50.0% correct+0.38% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 3/3 · SELL 0/3
| — |
| — |
| Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✓ | +0.63% | Maintain JPM at market weight with Hold rating, avoiding pre-CPI or pre-Q3 earnings directional bets despite asymmetric risk/reward math. Position sizing remains smaller than usual; use defined re-engagement triggers at $363.53 upside breakout with volume >7M and $332 50 SMA pullback for tiered adds. Q3 earnings mid-October is the mandatory reassessment gate regardless of price action. |
| 2026-08-06 | SELL | ✗ | +0.34% | Underweight rating with a modest 10% position trim at $356, reducing concentration while maintaining core long-term exposure to this franchise compounder. Stop loss set at $331 (50 SMA structural support), with intermediate review trigger at $345 weekly close for potential additional 25% trim. Re-engagement gated on breakout above $362.81 with momentum confirmation, with Q3 earnings in mid-October serving as mandatory full reassessment point. |
| 2026-08-05 | HOLD | ✓ | -0.82% | Maintain JPM at market weight as Hold is the mandated rating at $359 (99th percentile of 52-week range, 15.8% above 200 SMA, RSI 66), with a re-entry zone at $340-347 on a pullback and a hard stop at $330; Q3 earnings in mid-October is the mandatory reassessment gate where franchise quality (17.8% ROE, $48B capital return, 14.4x fwd P/E) will either validate continued holding or trigger a reassessment of the technical setup. |
| 2026-08-04 | SELL | ✗ | +0.48% | JPM is rated Underweight with a 25% trim of the overweight position into the $360-363 zone to establish a true (non-maximum) underweight, while retaining ~75% of the core position. The trim is supported by a P/B of 2.69x (the most stretched in the series), MACD histogram flipping negative at new highs, ATR expanding to 7.46, and Dimon's fiduciary warning on S&P 500 and Treasuries. A hard stop is set at $370 (above the upper Bollinger band and outside the 1-ATR noise buffer), with tiered re-entry laddered at $348-351, $339-342, and $329-332 on confirmed 50 SMA test and positive MACD histogram. Q3 earnings in mid-October is the mandatory reassessment gate. |
| 2026-08-03 | HOLD | ✓ | +1.38% | Analysts recommend maintaining JPM at benchmark or modestly below weight despite strong fundamentals (17.8% ROE, $428B retained earnings) because current valuation (P/B 2.65x, 75% above 10-year median) and momentum (MACD bearish cross at -0.37, stock ~2% from 52-week high) present unfavorable risk/reward at ~4% upside to $365-370 versus ~12% downside to $310-315. The Q3 earnings in mid-October is the mandatory reassessment point; until then, use any strength toward $357-360 as a trim opportunity (~25-30%) rather than a chase zone. |
| 2026-07-31 | SELL | ✗ | +0.24% | Trim approximately 30% of JPM exposure into the $355-360 retest zone, holding the remaining ~70% core position with a structural stop at $329 (50 SMA/BB lower band confluence). Re-enter on pullbacks to $309-327 with technical confirmation or a confirmed breakout above $359.30 on volume exceeding 8M with MACD turning positive. Q3 earnings in mid-October represents the next major catalyst gate. |