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Nasdaq · Consumer Staples · Discount Stores

COST

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Runs membership-only warehouse stores selling groceries and bulk goods at thin per-item margins.

$961.10-0.08%
Close · 2026-08-14
Current callSubscribers2026-08-14
$850$900$950$1,000$1,050$1,100
NovFebMayAug
Market context
$840.35
$1094.7652-week range, last close at 47% of the range
1W
+1.40%
1M
+5.03%
3M
-8.23%
6M
-5.35%
YTD
+11.94%
1Y
-0.89%
Avg vol 20d
1.8M
RVOL
0.57
HOLD band
Fundamentalsas of 2026-08-14
Mkt cap
$426.23B
P/E
48.3
Fwd P/E
42.4
EPS
$19.91
Div yield
0.61%
Beta
0.86
Employees
341K
Next earnings
2026-09-24
Rating & verdict historyoldest → newest
  1. ✗
  2. ✗
  3. ✓
  4. ✓
  5. ✗
  6. ✓
  7. ✓
DateCallOutcomeReturnTakeaway
2026-08-14Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-13Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-12Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-11Subscribers——Subscribe to read
2026-08-10Subscribers
±0.94%

    • 57.1% correct-0.02% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 3/3 · SELL 1/4

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    Subscribe to read
    2026-08-07HOLD✓+0.52%Maintain HOLD on COST at current levels (~$947) with the hard stop adjusted from $941 to $918 based on 1.5x ATR and the lower Bollinger band ($910-911). The 2026-08-05 trim-into-noise lesson (0.9% alpha cost) and unanimous analyst convergence confirm no preemptive trimming at current chop-zone prices. Re-engagement triggers: add 15-20% of prior trimmed exposure on confirmed close >$955 with >2M volume; trim 25-30% on confirmed close <$902 with volume and RSI <35; symmetric relative-performance trigger trims 10-15% if COST underperforms SPY by >50bps over 5-10 sessions without a range break.
    2026-08-06HOLD✓-0.14%Override both Underweight and Sell to Hold COST at current weight with a $902 hard stop. The 2026-08-05 reflection—where a 20-25% trim at $942 locked in losses—teaches that trim execution must wait for confirmed range break, not preemptive selling into chop. Preserve the directional Underweight view while setting explicit trigger grid: trim-confirmation signal is a close below $902 on volume >2M with RSI <35, and add trigger is a close above $955 on volume >2M. Cap position at 70% of benchmark weight; do not initiate fresh capital in the 902-974 chop zone. Re-evaluate post-September Q4 FY26 earnings and SCOTUS tariff ruling.
    2026-08-05SELL✗+0.76%Trim 20–25% of COST exposure at ~$942 toward the conservative end, preserving 75–80% of position with a hard stop at $902 (lower Bollinger). Explicit re-entry triggers are binary: close above $955 on ≥2.0M volume adds back 50% of trimmed exposure, while a washout to $880 triggers full re-deployment. Do not add capital in the 940–974 chop zone; rotate trim proceeds into short-duration defensives or treasuries, with full re-evaluation at September Q4 FY26 earnings.
    2026-08-04SELL✓-0.62%Reduce COST position by trimming 30-40% at $947.85 while maintaining 60-70% core exposure with a hard stop at $911, given rich valuation (forward PE 41.85, PEG >3), hostile macro environment (89% odds of no 2026 rate cuts), and distribution tape (price below all three moving averages). The $875 price target represents ~38x forward EPS at consensus $23 estimate, consistent with the 3-6 month tactical horizon.
    2026-08-03HOLD✓-0.65%Maintain neutral weight on COST with no new capital deployment at current levels ($954.08). The bullish MACD crossover (line +0.75, histogram +4.56) is undermined by same-session bearish price action (lower high at 967.98, close near day's low), and realistic risk/reward (~2.1% upside to $974 vs ~5.3% downside to $903) does not justify adding; prior trims already captured underweight alpha. Re-evaluation triggers are defined: Overweight requires close >$956 on volume >2.5M with expanding MACD histogram, while Underweight requires close <$934 on volume >2M.
    2026-07-31SELL✗+0.23%Analysts trim Costco (COST) 20–25% into $950–$960, reducing to a true Underweight, while preserving 75–80% of the position through Q4 FY26 earnings and the tariff refund Supreme Court ruling (both within ~8 weeks). The $895 stop is defined as a structural floor (2.85 ATR below entry), not a tactical stop, to prevent whipsaw in a low-beta (0.87) name that has held $911 support twice.
    2026-07-30SELL✗-0.24%Underweight rating reflects a tactical trim strategy rather than a structural exit: reduce 30-50% of COST exposure into rallies at the $973-1,000 resistance zone while sizing new capital at only 50-70% of benchmark weight, with a hard stop at $1,000 and reduced positioning ahead of Q4 FY26 earnings. The thesis centers on excessive valuation (48x TTM P/E vs. 10-year band of 25-35x forward) and hostile macro conditions rather than fundamental deterioration, with reevaluation if the stock pulls back to the $810-850 zone.