GE Aerospace
Makes jet engines for commercial and military aircraft, and earns most of its profit from maintenance and spare parts.
Underweight maintained on GE Aerospace with a 25-30% trim of long exposure at current market ($305.62) targeting 50-75% benchmark weight, given the broken technical stack with $306-307 structural floor under its fifth test. Hard stop on residual at $288 (approximately 2.1 ATRs of room), preserving 70-75% of position for basing resolution participation, with re-entry only at $270-285 capitulation flush or confirmed $323 reclaim above 8M volume. Price target of $288 reflects modest multiple compression to ~30x forward P/E against 2027 EPS consensus.
28 wins · 11 losses · 5 pushes in 44 scored verdicts How this is scored
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last 30 of 49 reports28 wins · 11 losses · 5 pushes in 44 scored verdicts-0.40% avg move
$10,000 → $10,000
-2.5%
$10,000 → $9,753
too few trades to judge — no round trips yetin the market 0 of 6 sessionsmax drawdown 0.0%simulated 2 Oct – 9 Oct 20265 newer calls are locked
Simulated with a notional $10,000, fills at the next session's open, no commissions or slippage, split- and dividend-adjusted prices. Not a return forecast. How this is simulated
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Underweight maintained on GE Aerospace with a 25-30% trim of long exposure at current market ($305.62) targeting 50-75% benchmark weight, given the broken technical stack with $306-307 structural floor under its fifth test. Hard stop on residual at $288 (approximately 2.1 ATRs of room), preserving 70-75% of position for basing resolution participation, with re-entry only at $270-285 capitulation flush or confirmed $323 reclaim above 8M volume. Price target of $288 reflects modest multiple compression to ~30x forward P/E against 2027 EPS consensus.
Maintain GE Aerospace at reduced ~2% portfolio weight (down from 3-4%) with a hard stop at $290 close. Partial add (50%) triggers on confirmed close above 10 EMA at $311.38 with RSI>40 and above-average volume; full add only on Q3 beat-and-raise with raised FY guidance. The $306-307 structural floor and $9B annual buyback cap downside, while 48% ROE, 21% revenue growth, and record $2.86B Q2'26 FCF prevent Underweight/Sell. Q3 earnings in late October is the binary resolution event.
Maintain GE Aerospace at HOLD with 3-4% portfolio weight (hard cap 5% even on confirmed breakout) while accepting Q3 earnings binary event risk at current size. Tighten hard stop to $297 (below lower Bollinger Band and prior swing low zone) rather than preemptively de-risking. Add on confirmed close above 10 EMA at $313 with expanding volume, post-Q3 dip holding $300 psychological level, or successful retest of rising 200 SMA near $320; trim to 3% on daily close below $304 on expanding volume.
Analysts recommend a Patient Hold on GE Aerospace at $306, synthesizing lessons from five prior decisions that systematically rejected both Underweight trims and Buy/Overweight initiation. The 200 SMA ($323.48) is broken overhead with the 50 SMA ($340.78) actively rolling over, while price sits within the $306-307 structural floor zone that has held four times in two months, mechanically neutralizing directional confidence either way. Maintain the 2-3% portfolio weight without adding, as the fortress balance sheet (0.85x leverage, $9.35B cash, $170B services backlog) and $10-12B annual buyback (2.7% float reduction) provide a "paid to wait" buffer within the trading range.
Analysts recommend trimming 35-40% of the GE Aerospace position in a single decisive tranche at the $316 (10 EMA) / $323 (200 SMA) resistance zone, with a hard stop at $302. The call balances deteriorating technical posture against structural support at $306-307, with Q3 earnings (mid-to-late October) identified as the binary resolution catalyst requiring reassessment.
Trim 35-40% of the GE Aerospace position into the $320-323 resistance zone, maintaining a hard stop at $304 on residual holdings. For investors unable to exit fully, layer $300 strike long-dated puts on approximately half the residual notional as optional protection through the October 29 FOMC and Q3 earnings catalyst window. The 9/30 binding lesson mandates sizing toward the higher end of the trim range to account for the opportunity cost of holding through a symmetric setup where both Buy and Underweight have been neutralized.
Maintain GE Aerospace at 2-3% portfolio weight without adding or trimming at $312. No pre-positioning before Q3 earnings (late October), with conditional +0.5% adds triggered either by $323 reclaim with volume + RSI>40 + MACD cross, or by Q3 commercial engine margin ≥28%. Stop remains at $305 to avoid ATR-based noise triggers.
Trim 25% of GE Aerospace in a single decisive tranche at current levels ($317-318) or into any relief bounce toward the 200 SMA zone ($322-323), with a hard stop at $302 close on the residual 75%. Do not deploy new capital above 50% of prior weight until bilateral re-entry triggers are satisfied—a confirmed close above $323.20 on volume ≥1.1x 60-day average, or RSI reclaiming 60 with expanding MACD histogram. The September 29 failed breakout at the 200 SMA ($323.20) has flipped that level from support to resistance, and forward consensus of 7% growth contradicts any 19%+ compounder framing, though structural floors near $306-307 cap the immediate downside.
The analysts unanimously recommend trimming 30% of the GE Aerospace position at current levels ($318) or into a relief bounce toward $322-326, with a structural stop at $302 close on the residual. The unanimous Underweight rating reflects that price has sliced below the 200 SMA at $323 that the prior Hold was defending, and the setup is asymmetric to the downside given hostile macro conditions (30Y yields at 21-year highs, PEG 4.16 vs sector ~2, 70% P/E premium to sector at 37.6x) and bearish technical posture (50 SMA declining, death cross in effect, MACD line at -7.33). The 30% trim captures the asymmetry without forcing the full directional bet that full exit would represent given intact fundamentals ($6.59B FCF, 48.2% ROE, $170B services backlog).
Maintain GE Aerospace exposure at current weight with zero new capital deployment at $327; the bilateral trigger framework preserves alpha while awaiting catalyst confirmation. Overweight triggers on confirmed breakout above $344 with MACD cross and RSI sustained above 50; Underweight triggers on hard close below $302.50 on expanding volume or fundamental deterioration.
Reduce GE Aerospace exposure by 15-20% into any relief bounce failing at $326.93, with stops anchored at $302.50 on the remaining core position. The Underweight rating reflects structural bear case validity—37.75x P/E with 4.07x PEG on a duration-rich asset as 30-year yields sit at 21-year highs—without forcing a directional trade the basing pattern has not confirmed; bilateral re-engagement triggers are gated on either 200 SMA reclaim with full confirmation or capitulation below $302.50 on expanding volume, with Q3 2026 earnings as the natural resolution catalyst.
Maintain GE Aerospace at Hold with rating explicitly stated as HOLD, maintaining current core position size at $319.80 with pre-committed ADD triggers and TRIM protocol. The $2.52 upside trigger (200 SMA reclaim at $322.32) and $2.52 downside trigger (breakdown below $302.50) are symmetrically equidistant, making the risk/reward genuinely undecided. Structural franchise quality (48% ROE, 21% revenue growth, $170B backlog) precludes Underweight, while top-decile valuation (35x forward P/E, PEG 4.06, 72x P/Tangible book) and unconfirmed technicals (MACD line still negative at -9.89, RSI 40) preclude Overweight.
Maintain GE Aerospace at current weight without deploying fresh capital at $319, executing the research manager's bilateral trigger framework to hold through the 200-SMA test and trim into any relief rally toward $328-340. Re-engage only on confirmed close above $328 with rising volume, MACD bullish cross, RSI greater than 50, and stabilizing 50-SMA, with a hard stop at $302 on a closing basis.
Initiating a tiered Overweight position in GE Aerospace, deploying 35-40% of target size at $315-322 with a hard stop at $303.30 (lower Bollinger), and the remaining 60-65% on confirmed close above $322.15 with ≥7M shares and MACD line cross above signal, not within 14 days of Q3 earnings. The 12-18 month structural target is $400+ contingent on CPP acquisition close and Q3 validation, with near-term tactical targets at $329 (20 SMA), $347 (50 SMA), and $389 (52-week high).
Analysts recommend reducing GE Aerospace to Underweight (50-60% benchmark weight) using a two-tiered trim strategy, with initial 30% reduction at ~$314 and additional 15-20% trim if the 200 SMA retest fails at $322. Hard stop is set at $300 on expanding volume, with re-entry requiring 200 SMA reclaim, MACD contraction, and RSI sustained above 50.
Maintain GE Aerospace at neutral weight without deploying fresh capital, as the structural franchise case ($170B backlog, 48% ROE, 21% revenue growth, $20B buyback) prevents trimming while broken technicals preclude aggressive adds. Execute bilateral triggers: BUY-ADD on confirmed daily close above $324 with RSI above 40 and MACD histogram contracting; SELL-TRIM on confirmed close below $298 with rising volume targeting $280 and $268.91 downside.
Maintain GE Aerospace core position at Hold rating due to the simultaneous truth of structural franchise quality ($170B backlog, 21% revenue growth, 20.6% operating margins) preventing Underweight/Sell and broken technical/macro backdrop (200 SMA broken, MACD histogram -2.53, forward P/E 34.4x) precluding Buy/Overweight. Deploy 1/4 starter position with hard stop at $295, reserving remaining capital for 200 SMA reclaim ($321.79) and $260-$280 flush entry, hedged with protective puts (6-9 month, $280-$290 strikes, 2-3% of position value), with Q3 2026 earnings as the binary re-evaluation catalyst.
Maintain GE exposure at current levels without deploying new capital or executing additional trims, as structural franchise quality (Q2 2026: 21% revenue growth, 19.2% operating margins, $2.86B FCF, $170B backlog, 48.2% ROE) argues against further reduction while broken technicals (200 SMA $321.70 breached, MACD -2.75) and deteriorating macro conditions (oil >$100, 5%+ yields, 0% Fed cut probability) preclude adding. Hard stop at $295 on expanding volume; add trigger requires $321.70 close reclaim with MACD contraction and RSI sustained above 40; Q3 2026 earnings in late October is the binary catalyst to resolve the aftermarket-cycle thesis dispute.
GE Aerospace downgraded to Underweight following first confirmed closing breach of the 200-day SMA at $321.62, which prior decisions had held in reserve. The execution framework calls for a staged 20-25% immediate trim at ~$317.50, with an additional 15-20% trim staged on a failed retest of the SMA in the $319-325 zone, while preserving 50-70% of benchmark weight to maintain exposure to franchise quality (record $13.35B Q2 revenue, $210B backlog, 0.85x net debt/EBITDA). Hard stop is set at daily close below $300, and the $385 price target (12-24 months) remains unchanged.
GE Aerospace warrants a moderate 20-25% trim to 60-70% of benchmark weight based on confirmed bearish technical alignment (stock 8.4% below 50-day, VWMA at $336.62), unforgiving 38x trailing P/E in a hawkish regime, and liquidity red flags including a -$2.3B working capital swing and capital returns running 150% of TTM FCF. A conditional close-based stop at $318 (below 200 SMA at $321.50 and lower Bollinger Band) triggers escalation to Sell, while the moderate trim size honors the binding prior lesson that aggressive 30-50% underweighting near structural support on quality compounders is alpha-destructive.
Reduce GE Aerospace exposure by 20-30% toward neutral weight at $324 as portfolio-risk reduction near the 200 SMA support zone ($321.31), maintaining a defensive core with a conditional close-based stop at $318.06; this is not a directional call for alpha capture but rather a positioning adjustment to avoid capped alpha outcomes. Technical deterioration (5-week downtrend, MACD negative and widening, RSI sub-35, 30-day VWMA at $338) and valuation premium (38x trailing/36x forward P/E vs RTX at 21x) support Underweight, though the binding prior decision chain precedent limits trim sizing to 25-30% to avoid the alpha-destructive outcomes seen at aggressive 30-50% reductions near structural support floors.
GE Aerospace HOLD at $325.42 reflects a convergence thesis where structural franchise quality (48% ROE, 20.6% operating margins, $7-9B annual FCF, $210B backlog) precludes Underweight/Sell, while broken momentum (below 10 EMA, MACD histogram -2.10, RSI retest failure) and stretched valuation (38x P/E, 4.31x PEG) preclude Buy/Overweight adds. Position sizing capped at 2-3% portfolio ceiling with active execution framework: conditional close-based stop at $318.06, add trigger at confirmed close >$336.60 on volume >5M shares, and trim zones at $347-355.
Reduce GE Aerospace 25-30% at $334 given extreme 36.9x forward P/E valuation, deteriorating momentum (MACD at -6.98 widening), and a structural capital allocation pivot with the $11.75B CPP acquisition redirecting buyback capacity. Maintain a measured core position with a conditional close-based stop at $320 (200 SMA floor) rather than full liquidation, as franchise quality (20.6% operating margins, $210B backlog, LEAP +41% YTD) justifies holding residual exposure.
Maintain GE Aerospace core position at $337 with no fresh capital deployment; HOLD rating is unanimous across all analysts. Execute conditional close-based stop at $320 (200 SMA, not intraday wick), trim 10-15% on any failed reclaim rally into $350-357 (RSI < 50, MACD histogram still negative, no volume confirmation), stage adds at $320-325 with single-condition confirmation, and hard invalidate thesis on weekly close below $300 with rising ATR above 11. Time-based reassessment in 10 sessions (~Sept 18-20).
All five agents converge on HOLD for GE Aerospace at ~$331, with the disagreement focused on execution precision rather than direction. The active playbook maintains core position with conditional trim triggers at $346-350 and $359 (only on failed reclaim), a structural stop at $320 weekly close (200 SMA), and hard thesis invalidation at $300 weekly close with rising ATR. The $385 price target reflects a 3-6 month tactical window, with Q3 2026 earnings as the swing event and the 200 SMA at $320 remaining untested by this decline.
Trim GE Aerospace 25-35% via staged execution on relief rallies to the $335-342 zone (10 EMA/prior breakdown), avoiding sells at the lower Bollinger band where mean reversion historically fires. Set a close-based stop at $315 on the residual position—one ATR below the 200 SMA to avoid noise-driven stop hunts—with a layered re-entry ladder at $325 (RSI curl-up + MACD divergence on 200 SMA hold), $354 VWMA reclaim, and $359 50 SMA reclaim for full rebuild.
Maintain GE Aerospace core position unchanged with no fresh capital deployment at $331. The structural thesis (48.2% ROE, $210B backlog, LEAP installed base growth to 30,000 engines by 2030) remains intact and prevents a sell, but broken technical momentum (price below 10 EMA at $346 and 50 SMA at $359, MACD histogram at -3.65 expanding negative, RSI at 36.66) combined with stretched valuation (39x P/E, 5.13x PEG ratio) preclude overweight or buy positioning. Active execution: conditional close-based stop at $320 (not intraday wick), trim 10-15% on any rally to $355-360 zone, and stage half-size adds at $320-325 only on confirmed stabilization.
Trim 30-35% of GE Aerospace position in three staged tranches over 3-5 sessions while setting re-entry levels at $318-322 (200 SMA test, Tranche 1) and $302-308 (Tranche 2 if 200 SMA fails), with a hard thesis-invalidation stop at $300 close on rising ATR > 11 and a trailing stop at $320 close on remaining exposure. The Underweight rating reflects convergent analyst agreement on reducing exposure given asymmetric risk-reward (5-7% upside vs. 10-13% downside), deteriorating technicals (RSI 38.63, MACD -3.26, fresh closing lows), premium valuation (37.8x forward P/E, 5.13x PEG), and a buyback ceiling rather than floor ($13.51B to $9.35B cash drawdown).
Maintain GE Aerospace at HOLD with no fresh capital deployment at $342. Tighten the trailing stop to $335, with a daily close below $335 on expanding volume triggering immediate reassessment to Underweight. Ladder scale-ins at $350 reclaim (0.5% portfolio with MACD histogram turning less negative) and $320-$325 flush (0.5-1% portfolio with bullish MACD divergence), trim 8-12% on rallies into $350-$358, and hard stop if weekly close breaks $315.
Maintain GE Aerospace core position unchanged at $342 with no fresh capital deployment. Scale-in reload in three tranches (1/3 at $320, 1/3 at $317.50, 1/3 at $315) with per-tranche stops ~$3 below each entry level. Tighten trailing stop on existing position to $338 (just under 8/26 lower low of $341.84) to lock in gains and avoid repeating passive-execution failures. Jackson Hole contingency: reduce 8-12% on any relief rally into $350-$358 to monetize binary event risk. Time-based reassessment trigger at 10 sessions if no add/trim/stop prints. Hard thesis-invalidation stop: weekly close below $315 (200 SMA structural break).
All three risk analysts converge on HOLD for GE Aerospace at $354, citing 41.7x trailing P/E with PEG >5 offering zero margin of safety despite world-class franchise quality (48% ROE, $210B backlog). Technical setup shows convergent deterioration with MACD bearish cross and loss of 10 EMA/50 SMA, while macro regime shift (57% Polymarket hike odds) poses active multiple compression risk. Hard stop triggers at $340 close on volume >4.5M, with conditional trim 15-25% on any relief rally into $360-$365.
Maintain GE Aerospace at current weight at $349, as intact secular fundamentals (48% ROE, $210B backlog, $18.1B deferred revenue) prevent a downgrade while broken near-term momentum (13 sessions below 10 EMA, MACD histogram at -3.25) and stretched valuation (41x P/E, ~7% consensus EPS growth) preclude adding. Execute the HOLD actively by trimming 8-12% into $360-362 resistance, selling covered calls at $370-380 strike to harvest premium during consolidation, and pre-committing add triggers at $360 breakout with MACD confirmation or $310-320 flush with bullish divergence.
Upgrade from Hold to Overweight with staged entry at $341 (50% position, 0.375x normal full position) and hard stop at $317; add 25% tranche on confirmed close above $356-360 zone, reserve final 25% for 200 SMA test at $319-325 or Q3 earnings confirmation.
Maintain GE Aerospace at neutral weight with no directional action at $348, as the 41x P/E with 1.5:1 risk-reward at current levels is inadequate; the structural bull thesis (services flywheel, $210B backlog, $48% ROE) remains intact but technical setup is unresolved. Set buy alerts at $319-$330 for 3:1 risk-reward improvement and breakout alert above $375; hard thesis-invalidation stop at $315.
Trim 20% of the GE position at market ($344-350) given simultaneous confirmation of momentum breakdown (MACD histogram -2.38) and breadth deterioration (RSI 76→40) on elevated volume, with 38x forward P/E and PEG 5.23 suggesting the multiple is not yet earned; set hard stop at $318 (200 SMA) on the residual 80% core position and re-engage only on catalyst confirmation—either a flush to $310-319 on 2x average volume, reclaim of $365-370 with positive MACD crossover, 10Y retreat below 4.0%, or Q3 services growth >15% with margin >25%.
Maintain GE at Hold with neutral-to-benchmark sizing and a mandatory 2-3 week tactical reassessment window, as the prior "hold-and-monitor" framework absorbed a -5.2% drawdown by waiting for confirmation that arrived too late. No fundamental break exists (margins 20.6%, FCF $6.6B TTM, ROE 48.2%) and price remains 11.8% above the 200 SMA stop at $318.69, so trimming is not warranted—instead, add only on a confirmed close above $384.50 with volume >4M and positive MACD, or a lower Bollinger test at $347 with reversal confirmation and RSI<40.
Maintain GE exposure with no directional action as the risk/reward is symmetric (~7% up to $385 vs ~7% down to $350), matching the empirically validated hold-and-monitor profile. Scale in at $325-345 with half-size at current ~$375, using a hard stop at $357 (50 SMA) and trim-zone above $405-410 if no fresh catalyst.
GE Aerospace receives an Underweight rating with a partial sell to trim 15% of current exposure (not the 30-40% proposed by other analysts), citing a valuation at 43.6x P/E with PEG ~5.4, negative MACD cross, and RSI divergence at the $381.22 August high—while the 85% core position is preserved with a hard stop at $318 (200 SMA), as no fundamental break or 200 SMA pullback exists to justify larger sizing per validated lesson chain from five prior August calls.
Trim 15% of the GE position at current levels ($368) or on bounces to $370-378, while maintaining 85% core exposure, with a hard stop at $353 (just below 50 SMA). The 15% sizing is constrained by the 8/13 reflection guidance requiring either a fundamental break or 200 SMA pullback before sizing beyond 15% — neither condition is met, as margins (20.6%), FCF ($6.6B TTM), and deferred revenue backlog ($18.1B) remain intact, and price sits 16% above the $317 200 SMA. Re-engagement opportunities are structured as a three-tier ladder across bullish, neutral, and bearish resolutions rather than pre-committed price reloads.
Trim 25-40% of the GE position into strength at $370-380 resistance (50 SMA, 10 EMA, VWMA convergence), as the stock trades at peak-cycle valuations (39.7x forward P/E, 5.37 PEG, ~33x EV/EBITDA) with technical deterioration confirmed by MACD crossing negative and lowest volume in 60 days on pullback. Set protective stop at $348-352 (~1.5 ATR below current price) and re-engage only on confirmed reversal signals at $341 (July low) or $317-320 (200 SMA zone), with full reassessment after Q3'26 earnings and Fed pivot catalysts.
Analysts unanimously recommend trimming 35-40% of the GE position into strength above $378, while maintaining a 60-65% core allocation to preserve compounding exposure—sizing larger than prior noise-level calls per empirical evidence. Set protective stop at $350-352 (just below the 50 SMA), avoiding both the overly loose $345 and tight $355-360 levels; cap new positions at half-normal sizing and do not initiate longs above $355.
Analyst recommends trimming 10-15% of GE position at current levels (~$368) rather than waiting for the $384.51 resistance that already failed on Aug-05, retaining 85-90% core position with a hard stop at $353 (50 SMA). The Underweight rating is supported by stretched valuation (43x P/E, 5.39 PEG, 21.65x P/B) and deteriorating momentum, though elite business quality (48.2% ROE, $176B backlog, 21% revenue growth, $2.86B quarterly FCF) argues against a full Sell; re-engagement requires either a confirmed close above $384.51 on volume >4M shares or a basing pullback into $340-353 with RSI <40.
Trim 50-55% of the GE position at $370-382 or relief bounces into $380-385, retaining 40-50% with a stop at $390-392. Re-engage via a hybrid framework: price trigger at $335-340 with RSI < 35, or momentum trigger with MACD histogram re-acceleration and close above 10 EMA; full re-entry at $315-320 only if fundamentals remain intact.
Trim 30% of the GE position at current levels ($370-372) or any relief bounce into $378-382, keeping 70% for compounding exposure while setting a hard stop at $355 (1.4 ATR below the Bollinger mid-band). Implement a conditional re-engagement framework with three triggers: a basing pattern below $355 with 10-EMA reclaim, a breakout above $382 on volume greater than 3.5M shares, or a pullback into $315-325 on constructive volume.
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