The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Investment bank offering trading, underwriting, mergers advice and asset management to institutions and wealthy clients.
Trim 1/3 to 1/2 of GS exposure targeting 50-75% residual weight (~60% calibrated midpoint), scaling into the $880-$905 resistance band over 1-2 weeks rather than anchoring to a precise $904 retest. The Underweight rating is directionally dispositive given price on the lower Bollinger Band at $855.66, MACD at -31 making fresh lows, and RSI at 29.19 confirming sustained downtrend; however, the 12x forward P/E valuation floor, $4.68B/quarter buyback absorption, and $187B liquidity buffer with OpenAI IPO mandate at 78% probability bound the downside near $855 and preclude a full Sell.
25 wins · 10 losses · 8 pushes in 43 scored verdicts How this is scored
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last 30 of 48 reports25 wins · 10 losses · 8 pushes in 43 scored verdicts-0.29% avg move
$10,000 → $10,000
-1.1%
$10,000 → $9,887
too few trades to judge — no round trips yetin the market 0 of 6 sessionsmax drawdown 0.0%simulated 2 Oct – 9 Oct 20265 newer calls are locked
Simulated with a notional $10,000, fills at the next session's open, no commissions or slippage, split- and dividend-adjusted prices. Not a return forecast. How this is simulated
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Trim 1/3 to 1/2 of GS exposure targeting 50-75% residual weight (~60% calibrated midpoint), scaling into the $880-$905 resistance band over 1-2 weeks rather than anchoring to a precise $904 retest. The Underweight rating is directionally dispositive given price on the lower Bollinger Band at $855.66, MACD at -31 making fresh lows, and RSI at 29.19 confirming sustained downtrend; however, the 12x forward P/E valuation floor, $4.68B/quarter buyback absorption, and $187B liquidity buffer with OpenAI IPO mandate at 78% probability bound the downside near $855 and preclude a full Sell.
Maintain Goldman Sachs at neutral benchmark weight with a $855 hard stop (lower Bollinger Band) and a long $870/$820 put spread for defined-cost tail hedging; no new adds before Q3 earnings per coiled-setup discipline, with pre-committed re-evaluation triggers: beat + $952 reclaim → Overweight; in-line → Hold; miss or <$940 close on print day → Underweight with 25% trim; $855 weekly close → Sell entire position.
Trim 10-15% of GS position scaling into the $913-$952 resistance band over 2-3 sessions, targeting a residual of ~60% of benchmark weight. The 10/05 reflection is binding—this setup family demands a smaller trim than the trader's proposed 25-30% because the remaining asymmetry sits on the long side of mean reversion. Hard stop on residual at $970 daily close; full-exit review on weekly close below $857 with Q3 mid-October earnings as the primary binary catalyst.
Underweight maintained on GS with a directive to trim 40-50% of the position over 2-3 trading sessions staged 60/40, scaling into the $917-$952 resistance band where overhead supply has rejected the stock twice recently. The residual long is capped at 50-60% of benchmark weight (tightened from the prior 65% ceiling that cost alpha), with a hard stop at the lower Bollinger band ($858.68 daily close) and full-exit escalation on weekly close below $850, while re-engagement requires either a daily close above $952 on >3.5M shares with positive MACD histogram, a Q3 beat above $19 with stock holding the 200 SMA, or a successful defense of $858.68 with early exhaustion signals.
Maintain GS at neutral benchmark weight through the Q3 2026 earnings catalyst (~2 weeks out) with a simple two-trigger framework: add on daily close above $925 with volume confirmation, trim on daily close below $890 with expansion volume. Post-earnings scenarios include Overweight on $952 reclaim (40% probability), Hold maintained (35%), or Underweight with 25-50% trim on bearish outcome (25%). The decision prioritizes operational simplicity over elaborate trigger architectures given the alpha band is essentially zero plus noise until catalyst resolution.
Maintain GS at HOLD with no additions ahead of the Q3'26 binary catalyst in mid-October; the $820 daily close hard stop and $800 weekly close escalation stop remain in force, while November $870/$820 put spreads provide defined-cost tail protection. Re-engagement to Overweight requires a daily close above $952 on >3.5M shares with positive MACD histogram, or a Q3 EPS beat exceeding 5% with stock holding the 200 SMA; de-escalation triggers on a Q3 miss with stock closing below $940.
Trim GS allocation by 45-55% over 2-3 trading sessions into any relief push toward the $920-$960 zone, with a hard stop at $876 daily close and maximum position sizing capped at 65% of normal allocation. Re-engagement requires a confirmed daily close above $951 (200 SMA) on greater than 3.5M shares with MACD histogram turning positive, with Q3 earnings creating a binary re-rating opportunity where beats above 5% EPS with $951 hold could move to Overweight while misses below $940 on print day trigger full exit.
Trim 35-45% of GS target allocation across 2-3 trading sessions into the $950-$980 relief zone (200 SMA/10 EMA), maintaining 55-65% residual for franchise optionality. Hard stop at $876 daily close with escalation to Sell on weekly close below $860 on expansion volume; re-engagement requires confirmed daily close above $951 on >3.5M shares with MACD histogram turning positive. Q3 earnings mid-October is the binary resolution catalyst determining whether to restore to Overweight, hold Underweight, or escalate toward Sell.
Goldman Sachs is downgraded to Underweight with a 25-35% target allocation trim executed across 2-3 trading sessions, scaled into any relief rally toward the $951-$972 zone. The hard stop is set at $951 daily close with full exit escalation on weekly close below $880 on expansion volume, while re-engagement requires a confirmed daily close above $951 on >3.5M shares with MACD histogram turning positive. The Q3 earnings report in mid-October serves as the binary resolution catalyst, with the trim magnitude calibrated to balance the bearish technical/macro thesis against the structural buyback floor defense for this 1.28-beta compounder.
Trim 12-15% of GS allocation within 2-3 trading sessions, scaling into relief toward the $940-$950 zone (200 SMA). Maintain residual core for franchise optionality but enforce a hard stop at $894 daily close (2x ATR); escalate to full exit on weekly close below $880 with expansion volume. Re-engage only on confirmed daily close above $950.49 with MACD histogram narrowing and RSI approaching 45+.
Maintain GS at 2.5% max position (reduced from 3% due to broken 200 SMA at $950 with close at $936), trimming tactical exposure sized for the failed 200 SMA bounce. Existing holders with cost basis above $1,000 should trim 15-20%; below $900 may maintain. Hard stop triggers are set at daily close below $900 (reassess to Underweight, reduce to 1.5-2%) or weekly close below $890 on expansion volume (full exit). No covered-call overlay per 9/11 lesson; re-engagement requires close above $970 on >2M volume with narrowing MACD histogram. Price target $940 over 2-4 week tactical horizon with reassessment after October 27 FOMC.
Maintain GS at neutral weight as the 200 SMA test at $950.07 is failing by only 0.06% on a single daily close, which the analysts correctly classify as structurally inconclusive and likely to resolve within 1-2 sessions; hard stop is set at $894 daily close, with a refined invalidation trigger at confirmed close below $940 on above-average volume that would prompt a 15-20% trim, while upside reassessment requires confirmed close above $950 plus 10 EMA reclaim at ~$972 with corroborating momentum signals.
Goldman Sachs maintains a tactical Hold on the position with a hard stop at $931 daily close and conditional 25-30% trim at the $1,000-$1,030 zone only if price shows rejection with volume—not pre-committed. The decision explicitly avoids both Buy (resistance bouncing in a confirmed downtrend) and Underweight (buyback floor cancels calibration) based on binding prior reflection lessons; reassess after 200 SMA resolution or Q3 2026 earnings in mid-October.
Goldman Sachs receives an Underweight rating as all three analysts converge on bearish direction, warranting a 15-20% trim from target allocation executed within a 2-3 trading session window. Entry targets at $989 (VWMA) and $1,011 (Bollinger band) should be used as exit liquidity for the trim, not entry points. Hard stop at $922 daily close with full exit escalation on weekly close below $890 on expansion volume, while retaining an 80-85% residual position to preserve franchise-quality optionality.
Maintain GS at neutral weight within the financial services sleeve on a 4-6 week horizon (Q3 mid-October catalyst). The 200 SMA test at $947.93 on a thin 0.37% margin with MACD histogram at -8.52 is technically broken, but structural positives ($4.68B/quarter buyback at 12.85x forward earnings, $22B AI mandate pipeline) and the 9/16 GS reflection prohibit aggressive sizing changes. The refined entry/exit framework replaces the tight $948 stop with a confirmed daily close below $940 on volume (~1 ATR below 200 SMA) for trim to 65-75%, with pre-committed scale-in levels at 10 EMA reclaim (~$990) and 50 SMA reclaim (~$1,035).
Maintain an Underweight rating on GS with a 15-20% trim of target allocation into any relief bounce toward the broken 200 SMA zone ($947-$960) within a tight 2-session execution window, while keeping residual exposure at 80-85% of target with hard stop at weekly close below $900; re-engagement requires either reclaim of $947 on >2M volume with MACD histogram narrowing or a Q3 earnings print that avoids confirming Solomon's FICC softness flag.
Trim GS by 15-20% into any relief push toward $1,000-$1,015 within a tightened 2-session window, maintaining residual at 80-85% of target allocation with a hard stop at $945 on a weekly closing basis (200 SMA break signal). Re-engagement requires FOMC clean delivery plus $1,012 close reclaim (10 EMA) with MACD histogram narrowing and RSI curling toward 45+, or Q3 2026 earnings printing above $18 EPS with stable comp discipline. No covered-call overlay as a substitute for directional trim—vol-selling cannot replace position reduction in a 1.28-beta name with stacked binary catalysts.
Trim GS to 65-75% of target allocation (upper half of trader's range) to reduce binary technical risk into the $945 200 SMA test while preserving the structural long-term thesis; execute the trim into any relief bounce toward $1,000-$1,015 rather than at spot $988. Hard stop is a weekly close below $945 on expansion volume, which triggers full exit. Re-engagement requires either FOMC clean delivery plus $1,000 reclaim within 5 sessions, Anthropic pricing confirmation, or Q3 2026 earnings momentum above $18 EPS.
Maintain GS position size with no adds or trims while executing a covered call overlay (selling $1,057-$1,090 calls, Oct/Nov expiry) to monetize elevated implied vol ahead of binary CPI (Sept 11-12) and FOMC (Sept 16-17) events, with a hard stop at $999 and price target of $980. The Hold rating reflects a genuinely balanced bull-bear debate where neither the aggressive Buy (requiring $1,148) nor the conservative case dominates, with Q3 2026 earnings against a $20.98 comp as the primary resolution catalyst.
Trim GS exposure by 30-35% on any relief rally into the $1,040-$1,050 zone, with market execution if no relief materializes within 5 trading days. Maintain residual position with a $985 hard stop and $999 daily close trigger, optional S&P 3-month 3% OTM puts hedge, and hard exit on any 200 SMA break ($943) on above-average volume. Target 80-85% of benchmark weight, with Q3 2026 earnings (mid-October) as the primary resolution catalyst.
Maintain the GS core position at no more than 1.5x benchmark weight and avoid initiating new longs at $1,028. Deploy a covered call overlay (selling $1,060-$1,075 calls, Dec 2026/Mar 2027 expiry) against the core to monetize the range-bound implied volatility. Keep new capital in short-duration Treasuries earning 4-5% until one of three triggers fires: pullback to $999-$1,010 with volume capitulation, clean close above the 50 SMA at $1,040 on >1.8M volume with successful retest, or Q3 2026 earnings confirming forward EPS trajectory with stable comp discipline.
Underweight GS with a 15-20% trim recommended into the $1,055-$1,070 zone, targeting 80-85% of benchmark weight. Hard stop on residual at $1,000 daily close; structural invalidation at $980. Re-engagement requires either a confirmed close above $1,093 with >2M volume and 50 SMA curling up, or a pullback to $940-$950 with positive MACD divergence.
Upgrade GS to Overweight with staged accumulation—deploy 33% of intended position on confirmed close above $1,042 with volume >1.8M shares, add 33% on breakout above $1,057-$1,058 or pullback to $1,030-$1,042 holding 10 EMA, and reserve final 33% for full 2Q26 confirmation. Set hard stop at $1,000 and cap total position at 1.5-2.0% of portfolio (0.5-0.75% risk at stop), targeting $1,087 with bull case at $1,110-$1,150; reassess at Q3 2026 earnings mid-October.
Goldman Sachs is trimmed to 85% of benchmark weight (1.0–1.5% portfolio band) via a 15–20% staged trim at $1,037–$1,045 rather than the aggressive 25–30% sizing, with a $995 stop (1.5 ATR) and $980 hard stop for residual core. Five factors drive the underweight: cyclically stretched valuation at 2.87x tangible book vs 1.3–1.5x historical average, capital structure fragility with net debt up 216%, deteriorating technicals (price below 50 SMA and VWMA with confirmed MACD bearish cross), mixed macro from hawkish Fed scenarios, and long-dated stablecoin optionality. Q3 2026 earnings mid-October serves as the primary resolution catalyst.
Goldman Sachs maintains a Hold rating as all three analysts converge on the base case—quality compounder fundamentals intact but near-term setup deteriorating amid a binary Friday jobs catalyst creating 3-5% two-way risk. Tiered trim strategy: 15% into confirmed $1,043 resistance rejection, remaining 10% only if $1,043 flips to support, with add-up-to-1/3-size conditional on post-jobs-print confirmation (MACD positive crossover with histogram contracting, RSI reclaim 50 with positive divergence, daily close above $1,026 on >1.5M volume).
Trim GS exposure to 1.0-1.5% portfolio weight (not 2%) using rallies into the $1,030-$1,048 zone as reducing levels, with a 5-trading-day time-based backstop forcing execution at market if no rally materializes. Set hard stop on residual at $980 (July swing low), not the trader's $997, which was empirically tagged on 9/1 in a $27+ ATR regime and would have been stopped out on noise. Do not initiate fresh short exposure; express macro deterioration view via portfolio-level hedges instead.
Trim GS to 50-70% of model weight via staged execution, with primary trim tranche at $1,025 and hard stop at $1,011 on closing basis, avoiding new longs at current levels. Re-engagement requires either confirmed close below $1,011 for further reduction or reclaim of 50 SMA at ~$1,065 on >2M volume with positive MACD line cross, with Q3 2026 earnings (mid-October) and GSIB surcharge ruling as primary resolution catalysts over a 1-2 quarter horizon.
Maintain HOLD on GS at ~$1,034 as the 14x forward P/E fair-value estimate and five rejections at the $1,060–$1,065 resistance cluster argue against chasing the compressed coil; scale in only on a confirmed test of $1,002–$1,012 with reversal structure or a confirmed close above $1,065 on volume >1.5× the 20-day average, and carry a 2–3% put hedge at the $1,000 strike for 60–90 days against the ~10% regulatory/macro drawdown tail risk.
Maintain GS at Hold. Existing holders can trim 15–25% into the $1,065–$1,080 resistance zone, while new positions should wait for a breakout above $1,065 on 2.0M+ shares or a basing pullback to $980–$1,000. Reassess after Jackson Hole and Q3 2026 earnings.
Underweight GS rated at $1,040 mid-range, calling for calibrated trim to 65–75% of benchmark weight via scaled selling between $1,055–$1,070, rather than the trader's full SELL recommendation or 50% underweight commitment. The position is designed to de-risk ahead of Jackson Hole Friday and Q3 2026 earnings, with re-engagement triggers at $1,065 and defensive cuts at $1,009/$980.
Trim GS exposure by 25-30% at $1,058 to reduce asymmetric downside risk from fresh catalysts (Q1 2026 revenue deceleration of 11% sequential, SEC prime brokerage subpoena) while preserving the franchise thesis; re-engagement requires either confirmed close above $1,071 on ≥1.3x 30-day volume with positive MACD line cross, or capitulation to the $937-$980 zone with RSI<35 and constructive MACD divergence.
Trim GS 25-33% to underweight while maintaining core position given the structural floor at $933 (rising 200 SMA) and $5B quarterly buybacks, but avoid initiating new longs at current levels where 2.86x P/B leaves no room for multiple expansion; hard stop at $980 with full exit below $928.96; Q3 2026 earnings in mid-October is the primary catalyst.
Maintain Goldman Sachs at Hold with no new trim and no new long initiation. The Aug 21 volume-confirmed bounce (2.54M shares) and the 200 SMA floor at $931 argue against Underweight, but the negative MACD and 50 SMA resistance at $1,053 argue against Overweight. Tactical add zones are $960-$1,000 on weakness and a confirmed close above $1,053 for 2-3 sessions on above-average volume, with a hard stop at $1,001 on close with >1.5M volume.
Reduce GS to ~50% underweight versus SPY through staged execution: trim 25% immediately at the $1,000 psychological zone and add to the underweight on any relief bounce toward $1,031–$1,052, with a hard stop at $980 daily close and structural exit below $928.96 (200 SMA). Re-engagement only on $1,072 reclaim with >2.5M volume; full reassessment at Q3 2026 earnings in mid-October.
Trim Goldman Sachs exposure by 25-30% at current levels ($1,015-$1,025) given an eight-decision pattern of zero or negative alpha outcomes, with hard stop at $980.75 and full exit below $928.96 (200 SMA). Underweight rating reflects analytical capital allocation discipline rather than thesis invalidation, honoring the 8/18 binding commitment. Maintain 75% core position with asymmetric re-engagement triggers: scale into 1/3 position on defended $998.79 (BOLL lower) with RSI sub-40 and MACD compression, full size on reclaim of $1,053 with >2.5M shares and positive MACD histogram.
Goldman Sachs remains on Hold for the seventh consecutive decision as all three internal analysts converge on rangebound directional consensus. The 50 SMA has rejected three times at $1,054 and MACD histogram is marginally positive at +0.59, while 2.84x P/B and 16x TTM earnings create asymmetric downside risk. A 60-day reassessment clock activates if neither the $1,000 hard stop nor $1,054 add trigger fires, with Underweight or coverage reduction mandated on the eighth consecutive zero-alpha decision.
Maintain GS at Hold with no new trim structure or long initiation—five consecutive decisions with rangebound mean-reversion setups and unhit trim zones demonstrate no execution edge in a grinding tape with Q3 2026 earnings months away. Hard stop at $1,000 (below $980 swing low on >1.5M volume) is the sole thesis-invalidation trigger; asymmetric re-engagement requires confirmed close above $1,054 on >1.8M volume with positive MACD histogram. If neither trigger fires within 60 days (by mid-October), actively reassess rather than passively rolling the horizon forward.
Maintain GS at Hold weight with no new trim structure or long initiation, as five consecutive decisions with near-zero alpha demonstrate that rangebound mean-reversion setups offer no execution edge. Apply the $1,000 hard stop (below the $980 swing low, at the June consolidation zone) as the sole thesis-invalidation trigger rather than engineering another trim structure that will not execute in a grinding tape. Q3 2026 earnings in mid-October against the $12.25 prior-year comp is the natural resolution event for this position.
Maintain the Goldman Sachs position with no trim and no add. Skip the trim into unhit resistance zones ($1,050-$1,085, $1,070-$1,090) that failed to execute in four prior decisions, and rely instead on a hard stop at $993 (lower Bollinger band) as the invalidation level. Use Q3 2026 earnings in mid-October as the natural resolution event against the $12.25 prior-year comp.
Goldman Sachs (GS) maintains an Underweight rating with a 6-12 month time horizon and $1,140 price target. The strategy calls for an immediate 25-30% trim executing at current levels ($1,040-$1,060), paired with a put spread hedge ($1,000/$950 strikes) on the remaining core position, while treating the $1,100 level as a trim exit signal rather than a re-entry opportunity.
Trim 45-50% of GS holdings into the $1,050-$1,085 resistance zone where the 50 SMA and prior support now act as resistance, while holding a meaningful stub with a hard stop at $1,000 to crystallize part of the 228% three-year gain and reduce exposure to deteriorating technicals and a leveraged balance sheet without fully exiting a top-tier franchise.
Goldman Sachs receives a Hold rating with a 6-12 month price target of $1,140. The decision reflects conflicting signals: strong fundamentals (Q2 2026 EPS $20.98, ROE 16.9%, NII +27.4% YoY, confirmed Nvidia consortium, $4-6B buybacks) are offset by broken technicals (price below 10 EMA/50 SMA/Bollinger mid-band, MACD -2.23 and deepening, 15% drawdown, R/R ~1.2:1). Tiered re-engagement triggers are set: upside at 50 SMA reclaim ($1,054+) on rising volume with positive MACD histogram, downside at washout to $940-980 with stabilization. A 25-33% scale-in on stabilization at $1,000-1,010 with two consecutive constructive closes is recommended, paired with protective puts at $970-980 strikes to hedge macro tail risk. The risk reassessment trigger is a daily close below $977.
Maintain GS at half-normal position with a Hold rating; the fundamental bull case (record Q2 2026 with $20.34B revenue/+92.3% EPS growth, 14x forward P/E vs S&P ~21-22x) is offset by a bearish technical setup (price below 50 SMA/10 EMA/Bollinger mid-band, negative MACD at -2.44, RSI sub-50 at 48.59, falling VWMA) with explicit add triggers at $1,054 close on ≥1.8M volume or pullback to $980-$1,000 with volume confirmation, and hard stop/reassess at close <$978 on >1.5M volume.
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