Tesla, Inc.
Designs and manufactures electric vehicles, plus battery storage systems, for consumers and utility customers.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
28.6% correct+1.00% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 0/0 · SELL 2/7
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| 2026-08-07 | SELL | ✗ | +0.70% | Execute a 15-20% trim at current $328 levels paired with a $290/$250 put spread (~3-4 month tenor) sized to ~50% of residual exposure, deferring all further reductions to catalyst-gated triggers (close below $297 on ≥50M volume or Q3 print validating FCF/margin decay narrative), with a $360 daily close as the rating-invalidation threshold rather than a trim stop, in order to express the dominant Underweight directional view without the alpha bleed from larger initial reductions seen in prior six consecutive Underweight decisions. |
| 2026-08-06 | SELL | ✗ | +2.83% | Maintain the Underweight (SELL) rating supported by all three analysts and the Research Manager, but reject both the trader's full SELL with $347 stop (inappropriate naked short for a $43.5B liquidity name with binary catalysts) and the Research Manager's 30-50% trim (replicates prior failure mode documented in six consecutive Underweight decisions at this exact setup). Execute through a smaller 15-20% trim paired with a $290/$250 put spread sized to ~50% of residual exposure to neutralize carry drag, deferring all further action to catalyst-gated triggers (Q3 deliveries, Q3 earnings, $297 swing low break, or $332 VWMA reclaim). |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | ✓ | -0.63% | Maintain Underweight rating (75% of benchmark weight) through hedge structure rather than immediate trim; defer active position reduction until either a confirmed daily close below $297 on volume ≥50M or Q3 2026 print validates the FCF/margin decay narrative. Execute a defined-risk put spread (Buy $280 / Sell $240 puts, 3-4 month tenor) covering 30-50% of TSLA exposure for tail-risk definition while preserving asymmetric upside. Hard stop on residual long at $285. |
| 2026-08-04 | SELL | ✓ | -1.77% | Maintain Underweight with a conservative 20-25% trim over 3-4 weeks using phased tranches, well below the rejected 25-40% or 30-50% proposals that replicated prior failure modes; hard stop set at $297 (the recent swing low, not $358 which is structurally too high). Hedge residual exposure with a $290/$240 put spread of 3-4 month tenor to define tail risk while preserving upside optionality into Q3 deliveries and Q3 earnings, which are the primary catalysts to revalidate the bear thesis. |
| 2026-08-03 | SELL | ✗ | +1.64% | Maintain the Underweight call on TSLA by trimming 20-25% of the existing position at the $322 zone while retaining 75-80% for asymmetric upside participation, with a hard stop at $300 and a $290/$240 put spread (3-4 month tenor) to define tail risk. The conservative 20-25% trim is preferred over the Research Manager's 30-50% and the trader's full SELL because the current setup (RSI 36.83, no 10 EMA reclaim, no Q3 data) satisfies neither revalidation gate for aggressive action. |
| 2026-07-31 | SELL | ✗ | +3.49% | Maintain Underweight on TSLA with a 30-40% trim at current levels ($311 zone) rather than waiting for the $327.65 retest, layering an additional 15-20% contingent sell at that level. Retain 40-50% residual long exposure hedged with a defined-risk put spread ($290/$240 puts, 3-4 month tenor), and re-engage on a daily close above $327.65 with volume ≥40M and RSI pushing through 40; full reload above $50 SMA ($390.76) with volume ≥50M. Price targets: $278.79 near-term lower band test, $260-285 base case, $240-250 stretch downside. |
| 2026-07-30 | SELL | ✗ | +0.76% | TSLA is rated Underweight with a $260 price target over 3-6 months. Execute an immediate 50-75% trim of long exposure at $308-310, retaining a 25-50% hedged residual via a wider collar (sell ~$380-400 calls / buy ~$260-270 puts) to define tail risk while preserving upside convexity. Avoid initiating new positions below the $285.72 lower Bollinger band, with Q3'26 earnings as the primary revalidation catalyst. |