Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Designs processors and graphics chips for PCs, gaming consoles and data center servers.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
57.1% correct-0.39% avg moveBUY 0/1 · HOLD 4/5 · SELL 0/1
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| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✓ | -2.86% | Maintain AMD exposure at ~$483 with a defined-risk collar overlay (long ~$440 puts / short ~$540 calls) through the binary catalyst window. Do not add on this weakness given the sequence of lower highs ($584→$540→$518→$483), MACD histogram at -2.26 and widening, and operating margin compression (17.1%→14.4%); do not trim aggressively given the $8.5B net cash, $8.84B trailing FCF, and defended $430 capitulation low support. Hard stop at $407 (2× ATR). |
| 2026-08-06 | HOLD | ✓ | -1.21% | Hold AMD at current ~$489 level with no new capital deployment until after Friday's NFP print; retain existing position with a hard stop at $424. Add triggers are conditional on either a confirmed 50 SMA reclaim at $514 with >40M volume (3% weight, stop $455) or a flush into $400-440 with bullish reversal (up to 5% weight). Price target is $540 over a 4-12 week tactical horizon. |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | ✗ | +1.50% | Trim 35-45% of AMD exposure via tiered selling (~20% at $480-490, another 15-25% on any rally to the $505-515 50 SMA zone) while retaining a 55-65% core position with hard stops at $410-420; deferred protective puts (2-3 weeks out until IV normalizes) and no new longs at current levels. Re-entry requires either reclaiming the 50 SMA at $514 with MACD reversal and RSI above 55, or a capitulation flush to RSI ≤30 near $440 with bullish divergence. |
| 2026-08-04 | BUY | ✗ | -7.04% | AMD earns an OVERWEIGHT rating with a three-tranche scale-in strategy (1% / 1% / 0.5%, capped at 2.5% portfolio) following a clean beat-and-raise print (revenue +50% YoY, data center +107% YoY at 31% margin) and an Aug 4 volume reversal, but with a hard stop at $462 (one ATR below T1 entry) and a mandatory partial collar hedge if position exceeds 2%. The $580 T1 target represents a 13.7% upside from the $510 entry zone, with a 15 trading-day time stop to manage the elevated volatility regime (ATR $40, beta 2.49). |
| 2026-08-03 | HOLD | ✗ | +7.00% | Maintain a HOLD on AMD core position through the August 4 Q2 FY2026 earnings print with a hard stop at $429. Trim 20-30% into any rally to the $500-513 zone to monetize elevated IV without surrendering core convexity. Implement a collar (buy August $445 puts / sell August $520 calls) to define risk symmetrically into the binary catalyst—the +1.8% alpha from the prior Hold was earned by the hedge structure, not the naked directional view. |
| 2026-07-31 | HOLD | ✓ | +1.78% | Maintain core AMD position into Q2 FY2026 earnings on August 4 with no pre-event adds or trims; cap any incremental position building at ≤25% of typical size only post-print with confirmation. Implement a collar structure (long $445 puts / short $520 calls) to define risk symmetrically around the binary catalyst, avoiding the naked put assignment risk identified in prior analysis. ADD trigger on confirmed close above $512 with volume, TRIM trigger on confirmed break of $445 with widening MACD, and hard stop at $445. |
| 2026-07-30 | HOLD | ✓ | -1.90% | Maintain AMD at ~$485 with a $424 hard stop and defer all incremental decisions to Q2 2026 earnings in early August; no pre-positioning, no pre-trimming, and only trim 15-25% into a $505-515 test if it arrives on declining volume with negative RSI divergence. Re-entry triggers are either a pullback into $440-455 with successful consolidation support retest or a confirmed close above $511 on >35M shares with MACD crossing zero and RSI >55. |