NVIDIA Corporation
Makes the GPUs and networking silicon that data centers buy to train and serve AI models.
| Date | Call | Outcome | Return | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-13 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-12 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-11 | Subscribers | — | — | Subscribe to read |
| 2026-08-10 | Subscribers |
14.3% correct+1.55% avg moveBUY 0/0 · HOLD 1/5 · SELL 0/2
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| 2026-08-07 | HOLD | ✗ | -2.86% | Three-analyst consensus converges on Hold given exceptional structural fundamentals (PEG 0.6, 74.9% gross margins, $80.6B cash) against a poor tactical setup after a 17.8% seven-session rally to upper Bollinger band resistance at $223.96, with 1:2.5 risk/reward asymmetry and binary CPI risk creating a high-probability shakeout zone; recommend maintaining existing exposure with options collar overlay while waiting for confirmed close above $224 with volume >160M for upgrade, or pullback to $207-$211 zone to add. |
| 2026-08-06 | SELL | ✗ | +2.27% | Maintain a 75-80% residual position after a tactical 20-25% trim executed at $214-215, capitalizing on the 15% one-week rally ahead of late-August earnings. A hard stop at $189 closing basis (just below the 200 SMA at $193.59) bounds downside risk, with structured re-entry triggers at $208-205 (light add on continuation) and $190-180 (full add on capitulation with extreme oversold signals). The Underweight rating balances the Aggressive Analyst's technical risks against the Conservative Analyst's structural bull case. |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | ✗ | -0.10% | Trim 18-20% of the NVDA core position across the $222-227 strength window rather than holding at full size or capitulating, maintaining a $188 closing-basis hard stop and deploying proceeds as dry powder. Reload at no more than 40% conviction if price stabilizes in the $195-205 zone (50-day SMA at $205.73), with re-evaluation after Q3 earnings and the September FOMC as binary catalysts that could shift the rating to Overweight or deeper Underweight. |
| 2026-08-04 | HOLD | ✗ | +3.43% | Maintain NVDA at ~5% cap weight with a Hold rating, as fundamentals (16.4x forward P/E, 0.55 PEG, 114% ROE, $68B net cash) anchor the core position despite tactical concerns around limited upside ($211.94 to $217.23 Bollinger Band) and inventory/receivables expansion risk. Tactical scaling is permitted on confirmed retests of the $203-205 zone (10 EMA/50 SMA), with the $205 closing stop serving as the primary risk line and $193.06 as the structural thesis-break signal. |
| 2026-08-03 | HOLD | ✓ | +2.56% | Hold NVDA at current levels (~$206.64) with a pre-committed 10-15% trim trigger on a four-condition signal (close above $212, volume >160M, MACD bullish cross, RSI >55) and a hard closing-basis stop at $193.06, deferring any additions until post-Q2 FY27 earnings resolution or a confirmed breakout above $216.43 with retest as new support. |
| 2026-07-31 | HOLD | ✗ | +2.93% | Maintain NVDA exposure at current or modestly below current weight as the tactical setup at $200.75 presents unfavorable risk-reward with price trapped below three resistance layers (50 SMA $206.12, 20 SMA/Bollinger middle $203.30, VWMA $203.29) and MACD still negative. The fundamental case remains compelling with 85% YoY revenue growth, PEG of 0.52, and 71% net margins supporting the 12-month structural thesis, warranting holding rather than reducing exposure. |
| 2026-07-30 | HOLD | ✗ | +2.65% | Maintain NVDA position without adding at current levels due to broken short-term technicals and negative MACD momentum; keep stop strictly at $185 with ~$9 buffer. Implement a tiered buy-trigger framework: first trigger on confirmed close above 200-day SMA ($192.80) with slowing MACD slope, second trigger on 50-day SMA reclaim ($207.06) with positive momentum. Consider a collar structure to hedge elevated beta (2.21) exposure. Q2 FY27 earnings are the swing catalyst for inventory resolution, which remains a yellow flag warranting patience rather than action. |